Democracy is not a perfect political system; it is just the best political system of all those that are known.
America is not a pure democracy, but a fragile psedo-democracy model that relies of the goodness of people to adhere to the spirit of a constitution written hundreds of years ago by a group of amazing people whose shared experiences lead them to a stunning series of ideals around freedom, equality and happiness (happiness, was never a political consideration before 1776, Anywhere in the world, what a truly amazing ideal!).
The process in the US is one of sharing aspirations aimed at like-minded voters during the primary cycle, which is then attenuated during the election cycle to try and draw more votes and then the winner again attenuates their ideas with those of all sides during their time in a role. The result is that everyone is mildly dissatisfied with government, but most people are not furious. It’s not a perfect system, just one that balances experience and power with need and desire.
What happens when a candidate points out that it’s a stupid system, sticks a finger in the air and decides to go all in to win and then do exactly what they said they would do?
What happens is the balance changes, the fragility of the conventions that allow for happiness, equality and freedom are put to the test.
It’s quite amazing that no one thought of it before. It’s a very high risk strategy, “all or nothing”. And we are living it today.
Global history indicates that it’s a bad idea, that the balance shifting in such dramatic ways will lead to hyper-changes to security, economics, the environment and society; not just in the USA but globally.
The security of the world is finely balanced. With borders maintained by a mix of weapons, physical barriers and most importantly economic interests.
The global economy is not based on natural resources, but promises. Currencies are no longer underwritten by gold and silver, but by a mesh of interconnected promises, treaties and subtle winks between national banks. If the largest economy decides to change these rules, every single nation will be looking to garner an advantage from the change, and it’s not clear who would win that battle.
Saying “fuck you” to the world may feel good (really good), but when you play a strategic game, it’s important to know how players will respond to your moves, and it’s not clear that’s the way it’s currently working.
The good thing is, that since no one thought the presidential election would go the way it went, it’s likely that no one built the brain trust to plan a response. So, it’s not just the USA running with scissors, the world is now doing it.
Donald Trump is either the smartest president that every existed in the history of history itself, or he is starting something he will quickly lose control of.
I’m rooting for the Donald to be everything he says he is, but as a scientist I like to see evidence, peer reviewed before agreeing with such a situation. I have seen the evidence of the last two weeks, I’ve listened to the peer reviews, and I’m beyond worried.
As a very smart comic character once said “with great power comes great responsibility”
Lower regulation doesn’t naturally translate to “better”, it can, but why would a business freed from a regulation do the right thing. It takes something else.
Lowering federal taxes, just increases state, local and hidden taxes.
Things that are likely to happen (not guaranteed, but more likely every day)
- Hyper debt
- Hyper inflation
- Hyper unemployment
- Less human rights
- Shorter life span, and a lowering of the quality of life overall
- A worse environment (air quality, water quality, farm land quality)
- Less equality
- Less government oversight
- Less investment in happiness (the arts)
- A greater gap between rich and poor
- Higher overall taxes for the average person (fed, state, local, privatization and deregulation costs*)
- Less global trade
- Higher fuel prices and dirtier fuel processes
- Lower wages
- A less educated population
*Privatization and deregulation costs
- Higher Healthcare costs
- Higher drug costs
- Higher food costs
- Higher Road tolls
- Higher safe water costs
- Higher heating and cooling energy costs
- Higher internet costs
- Import taxes
- Higher school costs
- Higher local policing and fire safety costs
- Uplifts of travel to pay for private security
- Higher fuel prices
- Higher train travel costs
- Higher banking costs
We have become used to all politicians lying, and we know it is wrong.
But maybe a politician telling the truth may be a hell of a lot worse.